Tax Refund Spending Plans: Food Security Takes Priority
Author: Purdue University
Published: 2023/03/10 - Updated: 2026/01/20
Publication Type: Survey, Analysis
Category Topic: Taxation - Related Publications
Page Content: Synopsis - Introduction - Main - Insights, Updates
Synopsis: This research from Purdue University's Center for Food Demand Analysis and Sustainability provides valuable insights into how economic pressures shape household financial decisions, particularly around tax refunds and food security. Drawing from a rigorous survey of 1,200 consumers nationwide, the study reveals that Americans expect average refunds of $1,940 - smaller than recent years - with most planning to allocate funds toward savings, debt reduction, or improving food purchases rather than discretionary spending. The findings hold particular relevance for people with disabilities, seniors, and households on fixed incomes who often face tighter budget constraints and may rely on tax refunds as a critical financial cushion during periods of food inflation and economic uncertainty - Disabled World (DW).
- Definition: Food Security
Commonly, food security is defined as including physical and economic access to food that meets people's dietary needs and preferences. Household food security exists when all members, at all times, have access to enough food for an active, healthy life.
Introduction
Americans are likely receiving smaller tax refunds than in recent years. Most people will not be going out to spend this money, according to the February 2023 Consumer Food Insights Report. This month's report also looks more closely at religious demographics and includes new data on frozen food preferences.
Main Content
The survey-based report out of Purdue University's Center for Food Demand Analysis and Sustainability assesses food spending, consumer satisfaction, values, support of agricultural and food policies, and trust in information sources. Purdue experts conducted and evaluated the survey, which included 1,200 consumers across the U.S.
"Of those who will be spending their tax refunds, improving food purchases is top of mind, which suggests that refunds are a part of reinforcing some households' food situation," said Jayson Lusk, the head and Distinguished Professor of Agricultural Economics at Purdue, who leads the center.
Americans expect to receive an average tax refund of $1,940. They plan to use most of it for savings, investment, or debt reduction.
American consumers appear to be in a holding pattern in food spending.
"There seems to be some optimism about food inflation improving, but consumers are not willing or able to spend more on food than they are currently," Lusk said. "I would also not expect food spending to start falling unless economic conditions worsen, which is a real possibility."
This month's report highlights the role that frozen foods play in many consumer diets. Frozen vegetables are the most common item that people select from the freezer aisle. Lusk noted that price is a key part of that decision.
More than 60% of surveyed consumers assess fresh food as somewhat better or much better nutritionally than frozen food.
"For most foods, the science does not support this belief, or the difference in nutrition is not big enough to matter," Lusk said.
Additional key results include:
- Religious consumers, namely Protestants, Catholics, and Jews, tend to be happier with their diets and lives.
- Religious affiliation correlates with some food behaviors like vegetarianism, but few generalizable trends emerge.
- Consumers largely think fresh food is better than frozen food, although frozen foods compete better on price.
- The average length of time households stay on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, or SNAP has continued to increase over 13 months.
- Reported food spending remains flat every month, even though consumers feel that food inflation is easing.
The survey found no change in the food insecurity rate, a sign that most people are managing under current conditions, said Sam Polzin, a food and agriculture survey scientist for the center and co-author of the report.
Polzin noted, however, that the portion of Americans who are food insecure and who rely on SNAP benefits has now seen their increased SNAP benefits end along with the public health response to COVID-19.
This month's closer look at religious demographics revealed few clear patterns except that Protestant, Catholic, and Jewish people report experiencing higher rates of diet satisfaction and life happiness compared to other groups.
"Other research similarly shows that religious people are happier than those who are unaffiliated with a religious tradition, so these results are relatively unsurprising," Polzin noted. "However, the fact that people we have grouped under other faiths are not doing as well is notable."
"I might guess that more people who are inactive members of a religious group or who broadly identify as spiritual selected the 'other' option, which might relate to their happiness."
Polzin further observed that religion was an inexact social indicator when it comes to food-related behaviors, beliefs, and trust.
"Our takeaway from many of these sections should be that religious affiliation does not provide a very coherent lens for understanding most food behaviors," Polzin said. "We would have more success identifying the influence of religion in the context of other socioeconomic and demographic variables."
Insights, Analysis, and Developments
Editorial Note: What makes these findings particularly telling is the shift in consumer psychology they reveal. When tax refunds - often viewed as "found money" that people spend freely - are instead being channeled toward necessities like food and debt reduction, it signals genuine financial stress rippling through American households. For vulnerable populations including seniors on Social Security and people with disabilities who face higher living costs and limited income flexibility, this conservative approach to windfall money isn't just prudent financial planning - it's survival budgeting. The fact that food purchases rank as a top spending priority for refunds underscores an uncomfortable reality: many families are using what should be discretionary funds simply to maintain adequate nutrition, suggesting that the nation's food security challenges run deeper than current assistance programs may address - Disabled World (DW).Attribution/Source(s): This quality-reviewed publication was selected for publishing by the editors of Disabled World (DW) due to its relevance to the disability community. Originally authored by Purdue University and published on 2023/03/10, this content may have been edited for style, clarity, or brevity.