H5N1 and H1N1 Replikin Counts on the Rise
Author: Ian C. Langtree - Writer/Editor for Disabled World (DW)
Published: 2010/04/09 - Updated: 2025/12/18
Publication Type: Informative
Category Topic: Influenza - Colds - Related Publications
Page Content: Synopsis - Introduction - Main - Insights, Updates
Synopsis: This report presents analysis of viral genome data indicating that Replikin counts in both H5N1 bird flu and H1N1 swine flu are rising, a pattern historically associated with clinical outbreaks. The analysis draws authority from BioRadar surveillance software, which has demonstrated predictive accuracy in forecasting previous pandemics and the current global H5N1 outbreak now appearing in 63 countries with significant human cases. The information is particularly relevant for public health planning and for older adults and people with compromised immune systems, who face heightened vulnerability to severe influenza complications - Disabled World (DW).
Introduction
H5N1 Outbreaks, Predicted One Year Ago by BioRadar, Now Appear in 63 Countries; TransFlu Vaccine Shown Effective Against H5N1 in Chickens
The most recent BioRadar (FluForecast ) analysis of the virus genomes of both H5N1, known for high lethality, and H1N1, known for high infectivity, indicates that the Replikin Counts of both strains are rising. Such Count increases in a specific strain have been invariably associated with clinical outbreaks of that strain.
The H1N1 outbreak in 2009 was predicted one year in advance by BioRadar software (Replikins Press, 2008). Previous H5N1 outbreaks, and their location (Indonesia), were correctly predicted, and most recently, the current H5N1 outbreak was similarly predicted one year in advance by BioRadar software (Replikins Press, January 15, 2010).
Main Content
This new data will be presented at the forthcoming scientific workshop on the "Replikins BioRadar Surveillance System" on April 30th, sponsored by UK Trade and Investment, to take place at 1 Victoria Street, London. Scientists from public health institutions in the U.S., U.K., Denmark and France - initial participants in the BioRadar surveillance network, will attend.
Past pandemics have seen the predominance of only one influenza strain.
The H1N1 virus Replikin Count, as of April 7, 2010, has not returned to pre-outbreak levels, but in fact is rising.
At the same time, the H5N1 virus Replikin Count continues to rise in a third cycle, as predicted by H9N2-H5N1 data one year ago (Replikins Press, January 15, 2009), and now realized in new outbreaks of H5N1 reported in 63 countries (CIDRAP, March 23, 2010), with 22 human cases, 8 fatal this year (WHO, March 30, 2010). Egypt has reported 16 human cases, of which 5 have been fatal (CIDRAP, March 15, 2010). Vietnam has had 2 lethalities (Reuters, March 18, 2010).
Replikins, Ltd. has produced a Synthetic Replikins Vaccine, TransFlu , with elements against both H5N1 and H1N1.
In an independent trial, TransFlu vaccine has blocked H5N1 in chickens. This is one example of the function of the BioRadar system of "Early Detection Rapid Response." Formulation of the TransFlu vaccine began over one year ago, based on H5N1 Replikins Analysis, when the increase in H5N1 virus Replikin Count predicted the present H5N1 outbreaks.
Insights, Analysis, and Developments
Editorial Note: The dual rise in Replikin counts across two major flu strains underscores the ongoing challenge of viral surveillance in an interconnected world - where prediction tools offer crucial windows for vaccine development and public health response, yet the unpredictability of viral mutation and spread remains a sobering reminder that preparation, not panic, remains our best defense against the next significant outbreak - Disabled World (DW).
Author Credentials: Ian is the founder and Editor-in-Chief of Disabled World, a leading resource for news and information on disability issues. With a global perspective shaped by years of travel and lived experience, Ian is a committed proponent of the Social Model of Disability-a transformative framework developed by disabled activists in the 1970s that emphasizes dismantling societal barriers rather than focusing solely on individual impairments. His work reflects a deep commitment to disability rights, accessibility, and social inclusion. To learn more about Ian's background, expertise, and accomplishments, visit his full biography.