Skip to main content
Accessibility  |  Contact  |  Privacy  |  Terms of Service

Study Predicts Likely Ebola Cases Entering UK and US Through Airport Screening

  • Published: 2014-11-15 : Author: University of Liverpool : Contact:
  • Synopsis: Screening for Ebola at airports could be effective for preventing spread of Ebola into UK and US, but due to incubation period will not detect all cases.

Main Document

"Researchers highlighted, however, that the most effective way to restrict Ebola's global spread is to control the disease at the source in West Africa."

Researchers at the University of Liverpool's Institute of Infection and Global Health have found that screening for Ebola at airports could be an effective method for preventing the spread of the disease into the UK and US, but due to the long incubation period of the virus, screening won't detect all cases.

Published in the Lancet medical journal, the study used a mathematical model to test the probability of infected travelers from West Africa entering the UK and US.

The team examined the current growth rate of the epidemic in West Africa alongside airline travel patterns to predict how many people with Ebola are likely to attempt to fly.

Approximately 29 cases:

The research showed that approximately 29 Ebola infected people are expected to try and leave West Africa by the end of the year and 10 would be likely to display signs of the infection that could be picked up by airport screening.

Of the remaining 19 passengers only one or two would be expected to fly to the UK and up to three to the US. It is thought that one of these passengers would have developed virus symptoms by the time they arrive in the UK or USA.

Epidemiologist, Dr Jonathan Read, said: "We developed a mathematical model to consider how long people incubate the virus alongside how likely airline passengers are to be infected. "From this we were able to estimate that 10 of the 29 people likely to leave West Africa via airports this year would have symptoms of the disease and so could be detected at exit screening."

Control measures:

The model showed that one or two passengers may not be detected at screening, but that a single case in the UK or US would not lead to the situation in West Africa, due to better control measures in these countries.

Researchers highlighted, however, that the most effective way to restrict Ebola's global spread is to control the disease at the source in West Africa.

Professor Tom Solomon, head of the Institute of Infection and Global Health, added: "This research shows that entry screening can reduce the overall chances of Ebola being brought into the UK, but that some infected passengers may still get through undetected.

"Even if we do see a case of Ebola that has not been detected at airport screening we have a good chance of stopping the spread of the infection."

To read the research paper, please visit:

Similar Topics

1 : South Africa Ready to Deal with Ebola : Brand South Africa.
2 : Treating Ebola in the US - First Hemopurifier Shipment : Aethlon Medical, Inc..
3 : Study Predicts Likely Ebola Cases Entering UK and US Through Airport Screening : University of Liverpool.
4 : RNs to Join Global Ebola Awareness Day Actions with Vigils, Rallies and Strikes : California Nurses Association.
5 : Ebola Education Module and Safety Poster for Nurses : Disabled World.
From our Ebola Virus section - Full List (15 Items)

Submit disability news, coming events, as well as assistive technology product news and reviews.

Loan Information for low income singles, families, seniors and disabled. Includes home, vehicle and personal loans.

Famous People with Disabilities - Well known people with disabilities and conditions who contributed to society.

List of awareness ribbon colors and their meaning. Also see our calendar of awareness dates.

Blood Pressure Chart - What should your blood pressure be, and information on blood group types/compatibility.

1 : How Often Do Medical Problems Lead to Bankruptcy?
2 : Videocamp Launches $400,000 Fund and Challenges Filmmakers to Create a Film About Inclusive Education
3 : vEAR: Why Can I Sometimes 'Hear' Silent Flashes When Viewing Animated Gif's?
4 : New Jersey Digital Art Program for Individuals with ASD
5 : 2018 Lime Connect Fellowship Program for Students with Disabilities


Disclaimer: This site does not employ and is not overseen by medical professionals. Content on Disabled World is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always seek the advice of a physician or other qualified health provider with any questions you may have regarding a medical condition. See our Terms of Service for more information.

Reporting Errors: Disabled World is an independent website, your assistance in reporting outdated or inaccurate information is appreciated. If you find an error please let us know.